{"id":6710,"date":"2026-08-24T14:37:22","date_gmt":"2026-08-24T14:37:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/propertyrelocationusa.com\/?p=6710"},"modified":"2026-08-24T14:37:22","modified_gmt":"2026-08-24T14:37:22","slug":"trump-bets-everything-on-century-old-delusion-doomed-to-trigger-catastrophe-expert","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/propertyrelocationusa.com\/?p=6710","title":{"rendered":"Trump bets everything on \u2018century-old delusion\u2019 doomed to trigger ‘catastrophe’: expert"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

The Trump administration is poised to unveil its new \u201ceconomic D-Day<\/u>\u201d plan Monday afternoon as part of its latest ploy to force Iran into submission, but in doing so, is destined to trigger a \u201cpredictable, catastrophic reaction,\u201d warned international security expert Robert Pape.<\/p>\n

Read more Trump and Melania\u2019s \u2018intense\u2019 clash at Indy race decoded by lip reader: \u2018I\u2019ve had enough\u2019<\/a><\/p>\n

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent revealed the plan Sunday in an op-ed<\/u> published in the Financial Times, in which he revealed that the Trump administration was readying the \u201csingle greatest financial offensive ever marshalled against an adversary.\u201d While specific details of the plan have yet to be revealed, its key component<\/u> will be the use of secondary sanctions, which aim to harshly penalize any nation or entity that financially supports Iran.<\/p>\n

Pape, a professor of political science at the University of Chicago, warned Monday in an analysis that the Trump administration\u2019s plan was not only doomed to fail, but would likely backfire in a spectacular fashion.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt is a seductive promise. It is also flatly contradicted by history. My 30 years of research on wartime blockades and economic sanctions shows a brutal reality: maximum economic pressure alone has not won a single major war since 1918<\/u>,\u201d Pape wrote in an analysis<\/u> published on his Substack.<\/p>\n

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\u201cFrom the post-WWI blockades to modern conflicts, massive economic sieges consistently fail to break a regime\u2019s political will. Instead, they often trigger a predictable, catastrophic reaction. By backing Tehran into a corner, this financial siege poses an imminent risk to global energy markets, threatening to shut down critical shipping lanes and spike oil prices overnight.\u201d<\/p>\n

Perhaps the most notable example of sanctions failing to achieve a stated end is the United States\u2019 66-year embargo against Cuba, which has been internationally condemned<\/u> since 1992 for its impact on Cubans. The embargo was imposed shortly after the overthrow of the U.S.-backed Cuban dictator Fulgencio Batista in 1959, who permitted Cuba to become what\u2019s been described as a \u201cvirtual slave state<\/u>,\u201d allowing its resources and infrastructure to be largely \u201cowned by American companies.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cBessent\u2019s strategy isn\u2019t going to end the war,\u201d Pape continued. \u201cIt is actively walking Washington straight into a devastating stage of the escalation trap.\u201d<\/p>\n

Read more Trump-obsessed aide\u2019s eyebrow-raising deleted tweets unearthed<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Trump administration is poised to unveil its new \u201ceconomic D-Day\u201d plan Monday afternoon as part of its latest ploy to force Iran into submission, but in doing so, is destined to trigger a \u201cpredictable, catastrophic reaction,\u201d warned international security expert Robert Pape.Treasury Secretary Sc…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6709,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6710","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\nTrump bets everything on \u2018century-old delusion\u2019 doomed to trigger 'catastrophe': expert - Property Relocation USA<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/propertyrelocationusa.com\/?p=6710\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump bets everything on \u2018century-old delusion\u2019 doomed to trigger 'catastrophe': expert - 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